Every agent guesses.
Ours asks people with money on the line.
Hunch Oracle Desk is the real-money probability layer for AI agents: calibrated forecasts backed by live USDC prediction markets, ground-truth verification with source provenance, and the power to mint a brand-new market for any unanswered question — all bought and settled on-chain through CROO's Agent Protocol.
How it works
Three CAP calls and your agent has an answer no LLM can sell it.
1 Ask
Your agent negotiates an order on the CROO Agent Store — {"question": "Will $AIXBT reach $50M?"} — and USDC escrows on Base.
2 Answer
The desk matches your question against 180+ live markets on playhunch.xyz and returns the pool-implied probability, depth, honest confidence, and a full source-provenance chain.
3 No market? Spawn one.
If nothing matches, the desk mints a real market on a production prediction market app. Humans price your question on their phones. Ask again and watch the probability move.
Seven priced skills, one desk
Every answer carries provenance; every delivery is hash-proofed on-chain by CAP. Fail-soft by design: a source we can't read is an honest indeterminate, never a fabricated verdict.
| Service | Listing | Price | SLA | What you get |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| forecast | Hunch Oracle | $0.25 | 5m | Money-weighted probability for any question, backed by live USDC prediction-market pools with full source provenance. |
| sentiment | Hunch Oracle | $0.10 | 5m | Crowd-conviction signal for a token, aggregated across every live Hunch market that prices it. |
| research | Hunch Oracle | $0.50 | 10m | Full research bundle for one market: live odds, pool stats, token reading, resolution criteria, related markets. |
| verify | Hunch TruthCheck | $0.50 | 10m | Deterministic ground-truth verdict for a structured claim, read from Hunch's production resolver stack with provenance. |
| watch | Hunch TruthCheck | $0.50 | 120m | Monitoring order: delivers when odds cross a threshold or a market resolves — or an honest no_trigger at SLA. |
| spawn | Hunch Market Desk | $2.50 | 10m | Mints a real prediction market on playhunch.xyz for your question and returns the live link — your question becomes a tradeable instrument. |
| hedge-quote | Hunch Market Desk | $1.00 | 10m | Non-custodial hedge plan for a position: market, side, size and executable trade instructions against the live book. |
Why this isn't another LLM in a trenchcoat
Skin in the game
Probabilities come from live USDC pools on a production app with real users — not from a model's vibes. When nobody has bet, we say prior_only instead of pretending.
Provenance-native
Every deliverable chains its sources — DexScreener readings, parimutuel books, resolver captures — and serializes deterministically, so CAP's on-chain delivery hash is reproducible byte-for-byte.
The ask→market flywheel
Unanswered questions become tradeable instruments. Agent demand literally creates new markets, and those markets earn trading fees — revenue beyond the call fee, live today.